Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000850 0.000965 0.001093 0.001249 0.001433 0.001646 0.001912
2025-05-11 0.000679 0.000830 0.001017 0.001268 0.001602 0.002039 0.002669
2025-05-18 0.000580 0.000748 0.000972 0.001298 0.001774 0.002466 0.003594
2025-05-25 0.000514 0.000692 0.000943 0.001333 0.001949 0.002931 0.004724
2025-06-01 0.000452 0.000629 0.000888 0.001314 0.002031 0.003267 0.005760
2025-06-08 0.000408 0.000585 0.000854 0.001316 0.002142 0.003674 0.007085
2025-06-15 0.000375 0.000550 0.000827 0.001324 0.002262 0.004129 0.008710
2025-06-22 0.000350 0.000526 0.000814 0.001351 0.002421 0.004704 0.010910
2025-06-29 0.000326 0.000501 0.000794 0.001362 0.002549 0.005254 0.013367
2025-07-06 0.000313 0.000490 0.000797 0.001415 0.002776 0.006113 0.017326
2025-07-13 0.000286 0.000455 0.000752 0.001367 0.002768 0.006379 0.019534
2025-07-20 0.000269 0.000434 0.000732 0.001364 0.002865 0.006967 0.023435
2025-07-27 0.000256 0.000421 0.000726 0.001396 0.003067 0.007974 0.030340
2025-08-03 0.000244 0.000407 0.000717 0.001421 0.003262 0.009073 0.039344
2025-08-10 0.000233 0.000396 0.000713 0.001457 0.003498 0.010457 0.052496
2025-08-17 0.000224 0.000387 0.000711 0.001497 0.003762 0.012115 0.071448
2025-08-24 0.000211 0.000368 0.000686 0.001475 0.003834 0.013062 0.087604
2025-08-31 0.000200 0.000354 0.000671 0.001477 0.003984 0.014468 0.113076
2025-09-07 0.000192 0.000343 0.000660 0.001487 0.004164 0.016165 0.149722
2025-09-14 0.000185 0.000335 0.000656 0.001518 0.004432 0.018558 0.211238
2025-09-21 0.000178 0.000326 0.000647 0.001531 0.004639 0.020833 0.291018
2025-09-28 0.000174 0.000323 0.000654 0.001592 0.005060 0.024917 0.466722
2025-10-05 0.000163 0.000306 0.000623 0.001536 0.004986 0.025605 0.553885